North Carolina
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
41  Annie LeHardy JR 19:41
141  Elizabeth Whelan SO 20:13
612  Ashley Miess SR 21:07
787  Malia Cali JR 21:19
854  Caleigh Bachop FR 21:24
867  Kylie McCoy SO 21:24
1,075  Doria Kosmala FR 21:38
1,171  Samantha Jorgensen JR 21:44
1,635  Aundrea Holmes SO 22:13
1,751  Grace Morken FR 22:19
2,831  Caroline O'Hea SO 23:34
National Rank #50 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #7 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 6.4%
Top 10 in Regional 69.4%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Annie LeHardy Elizabeth Whelan Ashley Miess Malia Cali Caleigh Bachop Kylie McCoy Doria Kosmala Samantha Jorgensen Aundrea Holmes Grace Morken Caroline O'Hea
Virginia Panorama Farms Invitational 09/28 929 20:00 20:18 21:18 22:18 21:40 22:13 22:10 23:35
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/19 848 19:59 19:56 22:00 21:37 21:12 21:19
ACC Championships 11/01 822 19:36 20:19 21:11 21:32 21:17 20:53 21:53 21:56 22:28
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 783 19:31 20:17 20:41 21:05 21:28 21:36 21:32
NCAA Championship 11/23 19:30





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 26.0 629 0.0 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 9.3 285 0.3 1.8 4.4 7.4 10.6 14.1 15.4 15.5 12.7 8.2 5.3 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie LeHardy 93.9% 46.6 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.0 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.2
Elizabeth Whelan 3.2% 86.7 0.0 0.0
Ashley Miess 0.1% 208.5
Malia Cali 0.1% 233.5
Caleigh Bachop 0.1% 237.5
Kylie McCoy 0.1% 243.5
Doria Kosmala 0.1% 244.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annie LeHardy 6.6 1.7 3.1 4.9 7.9 9.8 13.7 15.6 11.5 9.5 6.8 4.8 3.4 2.2 1.5 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Elizabeth Whelan 18.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 2.9 4.2 4.7 5.9 5.9 5.5 5.7 5.1 5.2 5.2 4.9 4.3 3.8 3.8 3.2 2.7
Ashley Miess 75.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
Malia Cali 91.7 0.0
Caleigh Bachop 99.0
Kylie McCoy 100.4
Doria Kosmala 119.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.3% 14.3% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 3
4 1.8% 1.1% 0.0 1.7 0.0 4
5 4.4% 4.4 5
6 7.4% 7.4 6
7 10.6% 10.6 7
8 14.1% 14.1 8
9 15.4% 15.4 9
10 15.5% 15.5 10
11 12.7% 12.7 11
12 8.2% 8.2 12
13 5.3% 5.3 13
14 2.6% 2.6 14
15 1.3% 1.3 15
16 0.4% 0.4 16
17 0.1% 0.1 17
18 0.0% 0.0 18
19 0.0% 0.0 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Georgia 6.1% 1.0 0.1
Weber State 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Stony Brook 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Northwestern 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0